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HİNDİSTAN-PAKİSTAN REKABETİNİN NÜKLEER BOYUTU VE TERÖR DENGESİ

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 7 Sayı: 2, 493 - 516, 27.12.2023

Şeyma Kızılay

Öz

Terör örgütlerinin kritik silahlara ulaşma ihtimali günümüzde daha olası hale gelmiştir. Bu bakımdan nükleer nitelikli araçların kullanımı ve korunması da daha kritik seviyeye ulaşmıştır. Nükleer gücün ve terör faaliyetlerinin bir arada bulunduğu bir alan olarak Güneydoğu Asya bölgesi önem taşımaktadır. Yıllardır rekabet halinde olan iki komşu ülke ve nükleer güç sahibi olarak Hindistan ile Pakistan’ın nükleer faaliyetleri büyük önem taşımaktadır. Bu noktada iki mühim aktörün rekabetinde nükleer gücün rolü de mühimdir. Bu çalışmada da iki rakip ülkenin nükleer kapasite geliştirme faaliyetleri ile aralarındaki rekabet ilişkisi incelenmiş ve terör örgütlerinin nükleer silahlara erişim olasılığı ele alınmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Hindistan Pakistan Nükleer Silahlar Nükleer Doktrin Terör.

Kaynakça

  • Atomic Archive. Pakistan’s Nuclear Facilities”, https://www.atomicarchive.com/almanac/facilities/pakistani-facilities.html.
  • BLASTAK, M. (2022). Nuclear Deterrence in South Asia: Case of Rivalry Between India and Pakistan. Security Outlines. https://www.securityoutlines.cz/nuclear-deterrence-in-south-asia-case-of-rivalry-between-india-and-pakistan/.
  • BLUTH, C. (2010). India and Pakistan: a Case of Asymmetric Nuclear Deterrence, Korean Journal of Defense Analysis, 22 (3), 387-406.
  • DALTON, T. (2019). Much Ado About India’s No-First-Use Nuke Policy. Carnegie. https://carnegieendowment.org/2019/09/26/much-ado-about-india-s-no-first-use-nuke-policy-pub-79952.
  • Drishtiias. Nuclear Doctrine of India. https://www.drishtiias.com/printpdf/nuclear-doctrine-of-india.
  • GREGORY, S. (2011). “Terrorist Tactics in Pakistan Threaten Nuclear Weapons Safety”, CTC, https://ctc.westpoint.edu/terrorist-tactics-in-pakistan-threaten-nuclear-weapons-safety/.
  • Indian Express (2022). India Test Fires Agni-V, Ballistic Missile with A Range of over 5,000 km. https://indianexpress.com/article/cities/pune/india-test-fires-agni-v-ballistic-missile-8326983/.
  • JOSHI, S. (2020). How Terrorist Actors in Pakistan Use Nuclear Weapons for Political Influence, Asian Security. 16 (2), 221-242.
  • KABAKÇI, F. (2022). “Nuclear Warheads Expected to Increase in Next 10 Years”, AA, https://www.aa.com.tr/en/world/nuclear-warheads-expected-to-increase-in-next-10-years/2628075.
  • KALB, M. (2021). The Agonizing Problem of Pakistan’s Nukes”, Brookings Institute. https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2021/09/28/the-agonizing-problem-of-pakistans-nukes/.
  • KRISTENSEN H. M. ve KORDA M. (2021). Nuclear Notebook How Many Nuclear Weapons Does Pakistan Have in 2021. The Bulletin. https://thebulletin.org/premium/2021-09/nuclear-notebook-how-many-nuclear-weapons-does-pakistan-have-in-2021/.
  • KRISTENSEN H. M, KORDA, M., JOHNS E. ve KOHN, K. (2003). Status Of World Nuclear Forces. Federation of American Scientists. https://fas.org/initiative/status-world-nuclear-forces/.
  • LOH M. (2021). Researchers say China is Constructing 300 Possible Missile Silos, Which could Make its Nuclear Arsenal Bigger Than Russia’s or America’s. Insider. https://www.insider.com/china-300-nuclear-missile-silos-beyond-russia-us-fas-2021-11.
  • MASOOD A. (2022). Of Sandstorms&Secrecy: India’s Pokhran II Nuclear Weapons Test. Siasat. https://www.siasat.com/of-sandstorms-secrecy-indias-pokhran-ii-nuclear-weapons-test-2324847/.
  • NDTV. (2022a). Days After China Clash, Agni V Successfully Tested, It Can Target Beijing. https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/india-conducts-night-trials-of-nuclear-capable-agni-v-ballistic-missile-3610126.
  • NDTV. (2022b). 5 Facts About India’s Agni-5 Nuclear Capable Missile Test Fired Today. https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/5-facts-about-indias-agni-5-nuclear-capable-missile-test-fired-today-3610259.
  • Nuclear Weapons. (2023). Status World Nuclear Forces. https://fas.org/issues/nuclear-weapons/status-world-nuclear-forces/.
  • OĞUZ, Ş. ve EROL M. S. (2021). End of the INF Treaty: Are We Entering a New Cold War Era? Gazi Akademik Bakış, 14 (28), 1-20.
  • Pib.gov.in. (2003). Cabinet Committee on Security Reviews Progress in Operationalizing India’s Nuclear Doctrine. https://archive.pib.gov.in/archive/releases98/lyr2003/rjan2003/04012003/r040120033.html#.
  • RAJAGOPALAN R. (2016). India’s Nuclear Doctrine Debate. Carnegie, https://carnegieendowment.org/2016/06/30/india-s-nuclear-doctrine-debate-pub-63950.
  • REIF Kingston ve BUGOS S. (2021). UK to Increase Cap on Nuclear Warhead Stockpile. Arms Control, https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2021-04/news/uk-increase-cap-nuclear-warhead-stockpile.
  • SAALMAN L. (2020). India’s No-First-Use Dilemma: Strategic Consistency or Ambiguity Towards China and Pakistan. SIPRI. https://www.sipri.org/commentary/blog/2020/indias-no-first-use-dilemma-strategic-consistency-or-ambiguity-towards-china-and-pakistan.
  • TELLIS A. (2022). Striking Asymmetries: Nuclear Transition in Southern Asia-Pakistan. Carnegie Endowment. https://carnegieendowment.org/2022/07/18/pakistan-pub-87398.
  • The Bulletin. (2022). Nuclear Notebook How Many Nuclear Weapons Does India Have in. https://thebulletin.org/premium/2022-07/nuclear-notebook-how-many-nuclear-weapons-does-india-have-in-2022/.
  • The Dawn. (2022). Biden Says Pakistan may be ‘One of the Most Dangerous Nations in the World’, https://www.dawn.com/news/1715159.
  • The Economist. (2017). What is India’s Cold Start Military Doctrine. https://www.economist.com/the-economist-explains/2017/01/31/what-is-indias-cold-start-military-doctrine.
  • The Hindu. (2019). Will India Change its ‘No First Use’ Policy? https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/will-india-change-its-no-first-use-policy/article29247139.ece.
  • World 101. (2023). The Nuclear World. https://world101.cfr.org/global-era-issues/nuclear-proliferation/nuclear-world.
  • WAQAR A. (2020). The India-Pakistan Nuclear Imbroglio: What Way Forward? Spectator. https://spectator.clingendael.org/en/publication/india-pakistan-nuclear-imbroglio-what-way-forward.

Nuclear Dimension of India-Pakistan Competition and the Balance of Terror

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 7 Sayı: 2, 493 - 516, 27.12.2023

Şeyma Kızılay

Öz

The possibility of terrorist organizations reaching critical weapons has become more possible today. In this respect, the use and protection of nuclear vehicles has reached a more critical level. As an area where nuclear power and terrorist activities coexist, the Southeast Asian region is important. The nuclear activities of India and Pakistan, as two neighboring countries and nuclear powers that have been competing for years, are crucial. In this study, the nuclear capacity development activities of the two rival countries and the competitive relationship between them were examined and the possibility of terrorist organizations’ access to nuclear weapons was discussed.

Anahtar Kelimeler

India Pakistan Nuclear Weapons Nuclear Doctrine Terror

Kaynakça

  • Atomic Archive. Pakistan’s Nuclear Facilities”, https://www.atomicarchive.com/almanac/facilities/pakistani-facilities.html.
  • BLASTAK, M. (2022). Nuclear Deterrence in South Asia: Case of Rivalry Between India and Pakistan. Security Outlines. https://www.securityoutlines.cz/nuclear-deterrence-in-south-asia-case-of-rivalry-between-india-and-pakistan/.
  • BLUTH, C. (2010). India and Pakistan: a Case of Asymmetric Nuclear Deterrence, Korean Journal of Defense Analysis, 22 (3), 387-406.
  • DALTON, T. (2019). Much Ado About India’s No-First-Use Nuke Policy. Carnegie. https://carnegieendowment.org/2019/09/26/much-ado-about-india-s-no-first-use-nuke-policy-pub-79952.
  • Drishtiias. Nuclear Doctrine of India. https://www.drishtiias.com/printpdf/nuclear-doctrine-of-india.
  • GREGORY, S. (2011). “Terrorist Tactics in Pakistan Threaten Nuclear Weapons Safety”, CTC, https://ctc.westpoint.edu/terrorist-tactics-in-pakistan-threaten-nuclear-weapons-safety/.
  • Indian Express (2022). India Test Fires Agni-V, Ballistic Missile with A Range of over 5,000 km. https://indianexpress.com/article/cities/pune/india-test-fires-agni-v-ballistic-missile-8326983/.
  • JOSHI, S. (2020). How Terrorist Actors in Pakistan Use Nuclear Weapons for Political Influence, Asian Security. 16 (2), 221-242.
  • KABAKÇI, F. (2022). “Nuclear Warheads Expected to Increase in Next 10 Years”, AA, https://www.aa.com.tr/en/world/nuclear-warheads-expected-to-increase-in-next-10-years/2628075.
  • KALB, M. (2021). The Agonizing Problem of Pakistan’s Nukes”, Brookings Institute. https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2021/09/28/the-agonizing-problem-of-pakistans-nukes/.
  • KRISTENSEN H. M. ve KORDA M. (2021). Nuclear Notebook How Many Nuclear Weapons Does Pakistan Have in 2021. The Bulletin. https://thebulletin.org/premium/2021-09/nuclear-notebook-how-many-nuclear-weapons-does-pakistan-have-in-2021/.
  • KRISTENSEN H. M, KORDA, M., JOHNS E. ve KOHN, K. (2003). Status Of World Nuclear Forces. Federation of American Scientists. https://fas.org/initiative/status-world-nuclear-forces/.
  • LOH M. (2021). Researchers say China is Constructing 300 Possible Missile Silos, Which could Make its Nuclear Arsenal Bigger Than Russia’s or America’s. Insider. https://www.insider.com/china-300-nuclear-missile-silos-beyond-russia-us-fas-2021-11.
  • MASOOD A. (2022). Of Sandstorms&Secrecy: India’s Pokhran II Nuclear Weapons Test. Siasat. https://www.siasat.com/of-sandstorms-secrecy-indias-pokhran-ii-nuclear-weapons-test-2324847/.
  • NDTV. (2022a). Days After China Clash, Agni V Successfully Tested, It Can Target Beijing. https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/india-conducts-night-trials-of-nuclear-capable-agni-v-ballistic-missile-3610126.
  • NDTV. (2022b). 5 Facts About India’s Agni-5 Nuclear Capable Missile Test Fired Today. https://www.ndtv.com/india-news/5-facts-about-indias-agni-5-nuclear-capable-missile-test-fired-today-3610259.
  • Nuclear Weapons. (2023). Status World Nuclear Forces. https://fas.org/issues/nuclear-weapons/status-world-nuclear-forces/.
  • OĞUZ, Ş. ve EROL M. S. (2021). End of the INF Treaty: Are We Entering a New Cold War Era? Gazi Akademik Bakış, 14 (28), 1-20.
  • Pib.gov.in. (2003). Cabinet Committee on Security Reviews Progress in Operationalizing India’s Nuclear Doctrine. https://archive.pib.gov.in/archive/releases98/lyr2003/rjan2003/04012003/r040120033.html#.
  • RAJAGOPALAN R. (2016). India’s Nuclear Doctrine Debate. Carnegie, https://carnegieendowment.org/2016/06/30/india-s-nuclear-doctrine-debate-pub-63950.
  • REIF Kingston ve BUGOS S. (2021). UK to Increase Cap on Nuclear Warhead Stockpile. Arms Control, https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2021-04/news/uk-increase-cap-nuclear-warhead-stockpile.
  • SAALMAN L. (2020). India’s No-First-Use Dilemma: Strategic Consistency or Ambiguity Towards China and Pakistan. SIPRI. https://www.sipri.org/commentary/blog/2020/indias-no-first-use-dilemma-strategic-consistency-or-ambiguity-towards-china-and-pakistan.
  • TELLIS A. (2022). Striking Asymmetries: Nuclear Transition in Southern Asia-Pakistan. Carnegie Endowment. https://carnegieendowment.org/2022/07/18/pakistan-pub-87398.
  • The Bulletin. (2022). Nuclear Notebook How Many Nuclear Weapons Does India Have in. https://thebulletin.org/premium/2022-07/nuclear-notebook-how-many-nuclear-weapons-does-india-have-in-2022/.
  • The Dawn. (2022). Biden Says Pakistan may be ‘One of the Most Dangerous Nations in the World’, https://www.dawn.com/news/1715159.
  • The Economist. (2017). What is India’s Cold Start Military Doctrine. https://www.economist.com/the-economist-explains/2017/01/31/what-is-indias-cold-start-military-doctrine.
  • The Hindu. (2019). Will India Change its ‘No First Use’ Policy? https://www.thehindu.com/news/national/will-india-change-its-no-first-use-policy/article29247139.ece.
  • World 101. (2023). The Nuclear World. https://world101.cfr.org/global-era-issues/nuclear-proliferation/nuclear-world.
  • WAQAR A. (2020). The India-Pakistan Nuclear Imbroglio: What Way Forward? Spectator. https://spectator.clingendael.org/en/publication/india-pakistan-nuclear-imbroglio-what-way-forward.
Toplam 29 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Uzakdoğu Çalışmaları, Güvenlik Çalışmaları
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Şeyma Kızılay

Erken Görünüm Tarihi 27 Aralık 2023
Yayımlanma Tarihi 27 Aralık 2023
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2023 Cilt: 7 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Kızılay, Ş. (2023). HİNDİSTAN-PAKİSTAN REKABETİNİN NÜKLEER BOYUTU VE TERÖR DENGESİ. Uluslararası Kriz Ve Siyaset Araştırmaları Dergisi, 7(2), 493-516.
AMA Kızılay Ş. HİNDİSTAN-PAKİSTAN REKABETİNİN NÜKLEER BOYUTU VE TERÖR DENGESİ. UKSAD. Aralık 2023;7(2):493-516.
Chicago Kızılay, Şeyma. “HİNDİSTAN-PAKİSTAN REKABETİNİN NÜKLEER BOYUTU VE TERÖR DENGESİ”. Uluslararası Kriz Ve Siyaset Araştırmaları Dergisi 7, sy. 2 (Aralık 2023): 493-516.
EndNote Kızılay Ş (01 Aralık 2023) HİNDİSTAN-PAKİSTAN REKABETİNİN NÜKLEER BOYUTU VE TERÖR DENGESİ. Uluslararası Kriz ve Siyaset Araştırmaları Dergisi 7 2 493–516.
IEEE Ş. Kızılay, “HİNDİSTAN-PAKİSTAN REKABETİNİN NÜKLEER BOYUTU VE TERÖR DENGESİ”, UKSAD, c. 7, sy. 2, ss. 493–516, 2023.
ISNAD Kızılay, Şeyma. “HİNDİSTAN-PAKİSTAN REKABETİNİN NÜKLEER BOYUTU VE TERÖR DENGESİ”. Uluslararası Kriz ve Siyaset Araştırmaları Dergisi 7/2 (Aralık 2023), 493-516.
JAMA Kızılay Ş. HİNDİSTAN-PAKİSTAN REKABETİNİN NÜKLEER BOYUTU VE TERÖR DENGESİ. UKSAD. 2023;7:493–516.
MLA Kızılay, Şeyma. “HİNDİSTAN-PAKİSTAN REKABETİNİN NÜKLEER BOYUTU VE TERÖR DENGESİ”. Uluslararası Kriz Ve Siyaset Araştırmaları Dergisi, c. 7, sy. 2, 2023, ss. 493-16.
Vancouver Kızılay Ş. HİNDİSTAN-PAKİSTAN REKABETİNİN NÜKLEER BOYUTU VE TERÖR DENGESİ. UKSAD. 2023;7(2):493-516.
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